Google
 
Web holistic-denzuko1.blogspot.com

3/08/2022

Who may want President Zelenskyy dead?

 I have not thought much of writing so many chapters on this Russia-Ukraine war. This is in fact my fourth entry on this event for this blog. If I am to include the entries from my other blog, it may  accumulate up to 6 entries. Anyway, this is only my own opinion and really you should not take it too seriously.

This is an interesting chapter, because recently the west have taken into consideration of succession in the Ukraine government if Zelenskyy is to be killed. There have been 3 separate attempts to have him assassinated, this include one foiled attempt by the Chechen special forces. He managed to escape all 3 attempts without losing a single strain of hair on his body.

This made me think, " who may want to kill Zelenskyy?"

To answer this question, we have to know what benefits and harms his death will bring and to whom.

To me the last person who wants Zelenskyy dead is Putin. If he wants him dead, it would probably  be at the start of the war  before Zelenskyy turned the heroic president, uniting the people of Ukraine. If he was killed then, we would have seen the immediate break up of Ukraine and Russia would have easily taken over the country.

Putin did not stop the Chechen special force in their attempt to kill Zelenskyy, it would have been Chechnya and not Russia to be blamed for the assassination.

What happen if Zelenskyy is to be killed now? While devastated, Ukrainian will be fully united and with more determination to not only drive Russian out, they may even further their advances to initiate attack to Russia and its allies such as Belarus and Chechnya, they will be unstoppable. Russia will be dragged into a long period of conflict as a result.

Zelenskyy presence also allows a more directional peace negotiation and should there be a chance of Zelenskyy's softening his position and agree to a certain terms "demanded" by Putin, Putin can end his campaign and appear victorious to Russia, thereby maintaining his grip on Russia. 

Another reason for Putin wanting Zelenskyy alive is to legitimize his invasion. If Zelenskky is to be captured alive, he would be put on trial and convicted, thereby coming to a full circle in justifying Putin's invasion, that Zelenskyy is with Nazi mindset ( whatever it means).

Putin needs Zelenskyy alive at all cost.

If it is not Putin, then who else? Would it be the European union?

They were reluctant to help at the start of the war, even to the extend that they asked Ukrainians to accept their fate. When they saw that not only Ukrainians not only able to defend themselves against the mighty Russia and managed to cause harm to much extend, they rallied behind Zelenskyy and pushes him closer into the conflict while they sat and watched on the sideline, such fair weathered friends.

Time and again, they were humiliated by Zelenskyy after his country survived through the ordeal. The longer he lives the more he makes them looking impotence and weak. 

As much as they dislike him, it is not sufficient for them to have him killed, as far as they are concern, one more day  he lives, one more day that Russia is getting weaker.

If there is not enough  hatred from European Union to have him dead, who  might want him dead? 

What benefits will his  death brings?

As mentioned earlier, citizens of Ukraine rise up against Russia, prolonging the war,  the world continues to sanction Russia and its allies while its economy collapse. Not only that it may result in  civil war and break up of the Russian Federation, turning into warring states. This will result in cheap export of oil and natural gas  for feudal lords to finance their power struggle, cheap oil and natural gas, unlimited supply.

The collapse of Russia is good for business.

US was very vocal about Russia as a threat to the free world since Biden turned president, it has sent out warning to the world of an impending invasion of Russia. after the conflict began, US was quick to prepare a budget in billions to support Ukraine for its struggle. 

It has also been rumored that US have been supporting Ukraine through training of its troops and supply of weapons. They have been supplying Ukraine with intelligence for them to be effective in causing destruction to the Russian troops. 

While Zelenskyy has won the heart of his people, leading relatively successful war against Russia, he is not really someone who obey orders, especially that of the US. He has refused US proposal to have him removed from Kyiv ( a good decision ).

At the moment, it is helping Ukraine to prepare for a government in exile in case Kjiv fall to the hand of the Russian. Should the set up completes,  US can place anyone as the face of Ukrainian government in exile, a dead Zelenskyy has  more benefit than a live one.

If I am Zelenskyy, I will be vary of anyone close to me who is also close to US. It is not only the Russian spies that I need to worry about.

Labels: ,

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home