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11/20/2022

Hung parliament? Coalition government? Minority Government?

The result of PRU15 is finally out, and it is what I favor, no one party or alliance is with a clear majority. 

With slight surprise, Pakitan Nasional (PN) overtake Barisan Nasional (BN) coming in second with 73 seats, BN with the worst showing of 30 seats. While Pakatan Harapan boasted about their 100 seats gain during the election process, they managed to get a mere 82 seats. GPS from east Malaysia with 22 seats, Warisan with 3 while GRP with 6 seats.

What is better?

First of all, while PN is led by Bersatu, it gained a mere 24 seats while PAS a majority of 49.

At the same time, while PKR is the lead party in the coalition, it holds a mere 31 seats while DAP is the majority shareholder of 40 seats.

I can see the uneasiness for these 2 leading parties with their subordinates with a larger majority then them. Their balls are constantly being grabbed if they don't listen to their "subordinate".

Even better still?

All parties and alliance dislike one another. These are their claims before the result:

1) PAS of PN refuse to work with BN claiming NB is infidel and evil, and that Zahid Hamidi is the symbol of their corruption.

2) Bersatu of PN refuse to work with PH, noting their highly pro-Chinese ethic.

3) Sarawakians and Sabahans refuse to work with PH due to its arrogance while in office.

4) Sarawakians and Sabahans claimed that they have not agreed to work with BN. 

5) Voters of these political parties and alliance demand that none should work with Zahid who is the head of UMNO.

6) DAP and PAS are nemesis and is unwilling to cooperate.

7) PH has been crying that BN is corrupt and that BN stole the power of governance from PH during the last succession of government.

This mean:

1) PH cannot work with PN. This will be the worst scenario for Malayisa as this combination can allow for change in constitution, allowing too much power to the alliance, they may collude to altrer the constitution to their advantage;

2) PH cannot work with East Malaysia;

3) PN cannot work with BN;

However, there is one option which is possible.

PH can work with BN. this will make a number of 112. However, with PH's hype on BN's corruption and how they stole the power of governance. This will show a lack of integrity for PH and another great disappointment for those who vote for them.

The other alternative is PN with BN and East Malaysia, but something has to be done to cleanse UMNO to make this possible. Again, PN will lose the people's support as a result. Many will be angry and feeling betrayed.

At this moment, due to stalemate within the alliance, Bersatu of PN is looking into loophole to justify the PN and BN collaboration. They are asking Zahid to resign as the president of UMNO as the condition of participation. The problem here is that Zahid IS officially elected as MP of his constituency, and he continue to exist within the coalition.

This requirement, however, is not specified from PH. However, as I have specified in Anwar Ibrahim should not be the prime minister of Malaysia, alliance with PH is dangerous and will lead to break up of the party.

What would I do if I am BN? 

I am one of the most hated team in Malaysia politics and I see that I need to change. Forming alliance with others will be seen as me not learning my lesson. I will have to reject all proposal for alliance and let myself remain as an opposition party for at least 1 term, demonstrating my ability to work for the better good for the people.

In addition, I will use this time to restructure and modernize BN, cleanse the organization of the old corrupt practice and making it more people oriented, introduce meritocracy to enable the nurturing of competence candidates to serve the people instead of depending on loyalty of individuals.

In addition, strengthen the groundwork with building up stronger grassroot to be more engaging with public and not be "above" like those precedes them.

The move will be seen as a sincere gesture to reform and will gain more trust and credibility with the people.

The coming 5 years is not going to be easy for anyone who take over the governance of Malaysia. The world is facing another round of recession of possibly 5 years in length. It is better to sit back and let others have a go at it. After all, it is easy to find fault and complaint instead of planning, organization and execution.

If BN accept any invitation to form coalition, they will be worse in the coming election. By then people will want them out of the political arena for good as they are seen as not learning from their mistake.

Forming a coalition partnership in any way will not benefit BN at all, neither will other parties. It will further lead to people's delusion to the Malaysia political arena.

Enable a minority government, the amount of opposition will keep them on their toes to ensure policy relevancy. One might question then: how to ensure other won't dare to score political points? 

Well, the people are the ones who voted for such formation, it will be the people's responsibility to make sure the politicians are in alignment to what they want.

We have done this before after the first tsunami when the people forced PR at the time to behave properly and worked accordingly. We can do it again.

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